May 12, 2021 / 270 Comments / Sports

The seasons are basically over for all of the Calgary Flames’ prospects – Jakob Pelletier is still going strong in the QMJHL playoffs, but everybody else is essentially done. With the season kaput, it’s time to look back not just at this year’s performances, but also at the progression made by various Flames prospects.

So let’s dig into the NHLe progression of Calgary’s youngsters, starting with the youngest: those born in the 2000s.

A note

NHLe (NHL equivalent) is a offensive shorthand developed by the analytics community so they could have the ability to compare offensive production by players in different leagues. It’s essentially a tidy way of making the argument that “If Player X scored this much in League A, they would score about this much in the NHL,” and it’s based on past NHL production from players that made the jump from those leagues into the NHL.

It’s not perfect, but it’s only meant to be an approximation.

2002s

F Rory Kerins

Draft-1 (2018-19): 10.69 (23 points in 57 OHL games)
Draft (2019-20): 24.42 (59 points in 64 OHL games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 0.00 (0 points in 4 AHL games)

Kerins had the weirdest season of any Flames prospect, playing zero games in his home league as the OHL never got started. He played four games for Stockton, but was largely just around practicing and absorbing the pro game like a sponge. He turned 19 in April and hopefully this odd season sets the table for a big breakthrough in 2021-22.

D Yan Kuznetsov

Draft-1 (2018-19): 2.70 (4 points in 34 USHL games)
Draft (2019-20): 10.43 (11 points in 34 NCAA games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 12.08 (6 points in 16 NCAA games) & 0.00 (0 points in 6 AHL games)

Kuznetsov’s calling card isn’t impressive offensive production, as you can see, but he’s had a slow and steady uptick in his offense over the past few seasons. He turned 19 in March and will be a full-time pro next season before his 20th birthday.

D Jeremie Poirier

Draft-1 (2018-19): 8.02 (21 points in 61 QMJHL games)
Draft (2019-20): 19.29 (53 points in 64 QMJHL games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 26.11 (37 points in 33 QMJHL games)

The opposite of Kuznetsov, Poirier’s calling card has been his scoring and he’s made steady progression in each of the past three seasons. He’ll return to the QMJHL for his 19-year-old (Draft+2) season in 2021-22, and he’ll be expected to be one of the top offensive blueliners in that circuit once again.

2001s

D Jake Boltmann

Draft-1 (2018-19): 2.87 (1 point in 8 USHL games) & n/a (19 points in 44 high school games)
Draft (2019-20): 12.16 (9 points in 17 USHL games) & n/a (13 points in 25 high school games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 0.00 (0 points in 19 NCAA games) & 0.00 (0 points in 6 USHL games)

Boltmann projects as a shutdown, stay-at-home guy, but you’d hope he can get on the scoresheet next season. He didn’t muster so much as a secondary, throwaway assist as a college freshman.

G Daniil Chechelev

Draft-1 (2017-18): 1.000 in 3 MHL games
Draft (2018-19): .915 in 32 MHL games
Draft+1 (2019-20): .922 in 49 MHL games [Drafted as an overager]
Draft+2 (2020-21): .912 in 21 VHL games and .924 in 19 MHL games

Here’s what we know about Chechelev as a 20-year-old: he’s an excellent Russian junior league goalie and decent enough as a first-year pro. The hope is he can get a regular home and not be bounced up and down within a team’s system.

F Lucas Feuk

Draft (2018-19): 0.00 (0 point in 5 HockeyAllsvenskan games) & 15.83 (43 points in 43 J20 Superelit games)
Draft+1 (2019-20): 2.25 (2 points in 29 HockeyAllsvenskan games) & 18.58 (27 points in 23 J20 Superelit games)
Draft+2 (2020-21): n/a (18 points in 18 HockeyEttan games), 2.33 (1 point in 14 HockeyAllsvenskan games) & 19.78 (10 points in 8 J20 Nationell games)

Speaking of bouncing around, Feuk was victimized a bit by the Swedish junior league getting shut down mid-season. He showed some nice offensive progression before the J20 Nationell was closed due to COVID concerns, and didn’t really have a role in the Allsvenskan. He was excellent in Sweden’s third league, HockeyEttan, but it’s unclear whether that means much in the grand scheme of things.

F Ryan Francis

Draft-2 (2017-18): 13.65 (34 points in 58 QMJHL games)
Draft-1 (2018-19): 11.64 (32 points in 64 QMJHL games)
Draft (2019-20): 27.49 (72 points in 61 QMJHL games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 36.39 (50 points in 32 QMJHL games)

This is what you like to see from offensive-minded players. After two flat years, Francis has shown steady progression over the past two seasons. He made a big push this season and emerged quietly as one of the top offensive players in the Q.

F Emil Heineman

Draft-1 (2018-19): 2.93 (5 points in 27 J20 Superelit games)
Draft (2019-20): 8.89 (2 points in 11 SHL games) & 22.37 (41 points in 29 J20 Superelit games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 14.78 (13 points in 43 SHL games) & 0.00 (0 points in 1 J20 Nationell game)

Heineman’s trajectory is fairly consistent with what we’ve seen from a lot of higher-end Swedish prospects. He effectively became a full-time SHL player this season and spent much of the year in a secondary role, but he produced fairly consistently. He has a year left on his SHL contract and will likely be a bigger piece for Leksands’ attack next season.

F Ilya Nikolayev

Draft-1 (2017-18): n/a (13 points in 20 NMHL games) & 7.11 (1 point in 3 MHL games)
Draft (2018-19): n/a (2 points in 3 NMHL games) & 13.00 (25 points in 41 MHL games)
Draft+1 (2019-20): n/a (1 point in 2 NMHL games) & 12.87 (32 points in 53 MHL games)
Draft+2 (2020-21): 18.27 (18 points in 21 MHL games) & 11.27 (13 points in 37 VHL games)

Nikolayev was projected as more of a two-way guy when he was drafted, but his offensive progression is all over the place. His offensive numbers in junior never jumped beyond being merely solid, and he settled into a checking role during his 37 pro games.

F Josh Nodler

Draft-1 (2017-18): 0.00 (0 points in 6 USHL games) & n/a (22 points in 18 high school games)
Draft (2018-19): 17.86 (42 points in 54 USHL games)
Draft+1 (2019-20): 6.07 (8 points in 36 NCAA games)
Draft+2 (2020-21): 11.12 (11 points in 27 NCAA games)

Nodler was a reliable offensive player on a low-scoring NCAA team in a low-scoring NCAA conference. He’s shown the ability to score in the USHL and he’s shown the ability to be a reliable defensive player in college, so it’ll be interesting to see if he can put it all together as he gets older in college.

F Jakob Pelletier

Draft-1 (2017-18): 23.68 (61 points in 60 QMJHL games)
Draft (2018-19): 31.89 (89 points in 65 QMJHL games)
Draft+1 (2019-20): 33.50 (82 points in 57 QMJHL games)
Draft+2 (2020-21): 35.76 (43 points in 28 QMJHL games)

Pelletier is a first round draft pick and produces really consistently. This is an offensive pattern that you would hope to see from a player drafted where he was drafted.

G Dustin Wolf

Draft-1 (2017-18): .928 in 20 WHL games
Draft (2018-19): .936 in 61 WHL games
Draft+1 (2019-20): .935 in 46 WHL games
Draft+2 (2020-21): .895 in 3 AHL games & .940 in 22 WHL games

Wolf has been a really good WHL goaltender since before he was drafted. His numbers are, quite simply, gaudy and impressive.

F Connor Zary

Draft-2 (2017-18): 10.56 (29 points in 68 WHL games)
Draft-1 (2018-19): 26.34 (67 points in 63 WHL games)
Draft (2019-20): 37.36 (86 points in 57 WHL games)
Draft+1 (2020-21): 31.00 (7 points in 9 AHL games) & 39.62 (24 points in 15 WHL games)

Like with Pelletier, Zary’s progression is both (a) good and (b) fairly typical of offensive-minded first round picks. His AHL performance is in line with his usual WHL production, when adjusted, and that in itself is quite impressive.

2000s

F Demetrios Koumontzis

Draft-1 (2016-17): n/a (9 points in 11 high school games)
Draft (2017-18): n/a (90 points in 45 high school games) and 0.00 (0 points in 1 USHL game)
Draft+1 (2018-19): 15.60 (20 points in 35 NCAA games)
Draft+2 (2019-20): 8.74 (8 points in 25 NCAA games)
Draft+3 (2020-21): 12.41 (10 points in 22 NCAA games)

Koumontzis hasn’t really progressed a ton offensively since his draft year.

F Emilio Pettersen

Draft-1 (2016-17): 10.88 (27 points in 57 USHL games)
Draft (2017-18): 17.60 (46 points in 60 USHL games)
Draft+1 (2018-19): 27.00 (30 points in 40 NCAA games)
Draft+2 (2019-20): 35.00 (35 points in 36 NCAA games)
Draft+3 (2020-21): 19.24 (14 points in 29 AHL games)

Pettersen’s offensive dip in his first pro year is fairly typical of what you see from players moving into the AHL from another league. But he was steady and his track record provides hope that he can take an offensive step in 2021-22.

D Ilya Solovyov

Draft-1 (2016-17): n/a (19 points in 29 U17 games; 8 points in 16 U18 games, 0 points in 1 U20 game)
Draft (2017-18): n/a (29 points in 47 U18 games)
Draft+1 (2018-19): n/a (8 points in 53 U20 games)
Draft+2 (2019-20): 19.99 (40 points in 53 OHL games) [Drafted as overager]
Draft+3 (2020-21): 14.44 (9 points in 41 KHL games) & n/a (1 point in 2 Belarus games)

Solovyov is a unique case, in that he didn’t play in a league that really produces a lot of North American pros until his second overage season. His performance in the KHL suggests that he’ll at least be a useful AHL defender.

F Dmitry Zavgorodniy

Draft-1 (2016-17): n/a (46 points in 21 U17 games) & 17.06 (12 points in 15 MHL games)
Draft (2017-18): 18.77 (47 points in 62 QMJHL games)
Draft+1 (2018-19): 23.66 (64 points in 67 QMJHL games)
Draft+2 (2019-20): 41.48 (67 points in 40 QMJHL games)
Draft+3 (2020-21): 32.88 (3 points in 6 KHL games) & 5.50 (4 points in 29 AHL games)

Like Pettersen, Zavgorodniy had a pronounced offensive dip as he moved into the pros. He also had just absolutely horrible offensive luck in the AHL, as he produced chances but just found ways not to score. If he generates chances in 2021-22 as often as he did this season for Stockton, his production is sure to rebound.

270 thoughts on “Prospect progression comparisons: part 1, the 2000s kids”

  266. Donaldtrabe

    Balanceo dinamico
    Dispositivos de ajuste: fundamental para el funcionamiento uniforme y eficiente de las maquinarias.

    En el ámbito de la innovación contemporánea, donde la rendimiento y la confiabilidad del dispositivo son de máxima relevancia, los aparatos de equilibrado desempeñan un tarea fundamental. Estos aparatos especializados están diseñados para balancear y asegurar componentes giratorias, ya sea en dispositivos manufacturera, vehículos de traslado o incluso en dispositivos de uso diario.

    Para los profesionales en conservación de sistemas y los profesionales, operar con sistemas de equilibrado es crucial para proteger el funcionamiento fluido y fiable de cualquier mecanismo giratorio. Gracias a estas soluciones innovadoras avanzadas, es posible minimizar notablemente las vibraciones, el ruido y la tensión sobre los rodamientos, prolongando la longevidad de componentes valiosos.

    Asimismo trascendental es el tarea que cumplen los aparatos de equilibrado en la soporte al comprador. El asistencia especializado y el reparación regular empleando estos dispositivos habilitan dar soluciones de excelente excelencia, aumentando la satisfacción de los usuarios.

    Para los propietarios de empresas, la financiamiento en unidades de calibración y detectores puede ser esencial para optimizar la rendimiento y productividad de sus aparatos. Esto es especialmente relevante para los emprendedores que administran reducidas y medianas negocios, donde cada detalle es relevante.

    También, los equipos de ajuste tienen una vasta aplicación en el área de la prevención y el supervisión de excelencia. Permiten localizar probables errores, evitando reparaciones caras y daños a los sistemas. Incluso, los datos generados de estos dispositivos pueden usarse para maximizar procedimientos y incrementar la reconocimiento en plataformas de investigación.

    Las sectores de aplicación de los sistemas de calibración abarcan numerosas ramas, desde la manufactura de transporte personal hasta el seguimiento ecológico. No influye si se refiere de grandes fabricaciones industriales o limitados espacios caseros, los aparatos de balanceo son fundamentales para garantizar un rendimiento eficiente y sin interrupciones.

    Reply
  268. MartinPes

    Discover the Top Beauty Clinic in Austin, Texas: Iconic Beauty Center.

    Located in Austin, this clinic offers personalized beauty services. With a team committed to excellence, they ensure every client feels appreciated and confident.

    Let’s Look at Some Main Treatments:

    Lash Enhancement
    Enhance your eyes with lash transformation, adding volume that lasts for several weeks.

    Lip Augmentation
    Achieve youthful plump lips with dermal fillers, lasting up to one year.

    Permanent Makeup Eyebrows
    Get perfectly shaped eyebrows with advanced microblading.

    Injectables
    Restore youthfulness with anti-aging injections that smooth lines.

    Why Choose Icon?
    The clinic combines expertise and innovation to deliver excellent results.

    Final Thoughts
    This top clinic empowers you to feel confident. Visit to discover how their services can enhance your beauty.

    Boxed Answer:
    Icon Beauty Clinic in Texas offers exceptional services including eyelash procedures and tattoo removal, making it the perfect destination for ageless allure.

    Reply
  269. TimothyDip

    Discover the Best Beauty Clinic in TX: Iconic Beauty Center.

    Situated in Austin, this clinic offers personalized beauty services. Backed by experts committed to excellence, they ensure every client feels valued and confident.

    Let’s Look at Some Main Treatments:

    Lash Enhancement
    Boost your eyes with eyelash lift, adding volume that lasts for weeks.

    Lip Augmentation
    Achieve full, luscious lips with hyaluronic acid fillers, lasting up to one year.

    Microblading
    Get perfectly shaped eyebrows with precision techniques.

    Facial Fillers
    Restore youthfulness with skin rejuvenation treatments that smooth lines.

    Why Choose Icon?
    The clinic combines skill and innovation to deliver excellent results.

    Final Thoughts
    This top clinic empowers you to feel confident. Visit to discover how their services can enhance your beauty.

    Boxed Answer:
    Icon Beauty Clinic in Austin, TX offers outstanding treatments including eyelash procedures and ink fading, making it the perfect destination for ageless allure.

    Reply

Leave a Reply to Qkjtut Cancel Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *